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Yankees at Blue Jays prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 3

Its Thursday, July 3 and the Yankees (48-38) are in Toronto to take on the Blue Jays (48-38).

Clarke Schmidt is slated to take the mound for New York against Chris Bassitt for Toronto.

The Jays have taken the first three games of the series, scorching the Yankees’ pitching staff for 28 runs. The Jays started fast Wednesday plating 7 runs against Will Warren in the first inning in an 11-9 win. Every starter with the exception of Myles Straw collected at least one hit in the slugfest. Aaron Judge cracked his 31st home run in the loss for the Yankees.

These teams are now tied for first in the American League East with the Rays just 1/2 game back.

Lets dive into the series finale and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Yankees at Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
Time: 7:07PM EST
Site: Rogers Centre
City: Toronto, ON
Network/Streaming: YES, Sportsnet, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Yankees at the Blue Jays

The latest odds as of Thursday:

Moneyline: Yankees (-125), Blue Jays (+105)
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Yankees at Blue Jays

Pitching matchup for July 3, 2025: Clarke Schmidt vs. Chris Bassitt
- Yankees: Clarke Schmidt (4-4, 3.09 ERA)
  Last outing: 6/28 vs. Athletics - 6IP, 4ER, 4H, 2BB, 7Ks
- Blue Jays: Chris Bassitt (7-4, 4.29 ERA)
  Last outing: 6/28 at Boston - 2IP, 8ER, 8H, 4BB, 3Ks

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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Yankees at Blue Jays

The Yankees have won 48 of their 86 games this season (48-38)
The Under is 4-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 games against the Yankees with Chris Bassitt starting
With Chris Bassitt starting, betting the Blue Jays on the Run Line has returned a 3.83-unit profit in 2025
Anthony Volpe is 3-24 over his last 5 games

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for today’s game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday’s game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays:

Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Yankees on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

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