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Yankees at Blue Jays Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 1

It’s Tuesday, July 1 and the Yankees (48-36) are in Toronto to take on the Blue Jays (46-38). Max Fried is slated to take the mound for New York against Kevin Gausman for Toronto.

Toronto took the opening game of the series, 5-4, behind a four-run sixth inning. The Blue Jays have won two straight and four of the previous five games.

After going on a season-long six-game losing streak, the Yankees have posted a 6-5 record with two two-game winning streaks.

Both Gausman and Fried combined for 1 earned run, 1 walk, 13 strikeouts, and 9 hits over 15.0 combined innings in their last starts, so we could see a pitchers duel between the two.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Yankees at Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
Time: 3:07PM EST
Site: Rogers Centre
City: Toronto, ON
Network/Streaming: YES, Sportsnet, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Yankees at the Blue Jays

The latest odds as of Tuesday:

Moneyline: Yankees (-166), Blue Jays (+139)
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Yankees at Blue Jays

Pitching matchup for July 1, 2025: Max Fried vs. Kevin Gausman
- Yankees: Max Fried, (10-2, 1.92 ERA)
  Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 7 Strikeouts
- Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman, (6-6, 4.21 ERA)
  Last outing: 8.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 6 Strikeouts

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Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday’s game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays:

Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Yankees on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Yankees at Blue Jays

The Yankees have won 20 of their last 34 games following a defeat
The over has cashed in 17 of the Blue Jays’ last 20 home games with Kevin Gausman on the mound
The Blue Jays are up 1.31 units on the -1.5 run line with Kevin Gausman starting at Rogers Centre in 2025
Toronto is 9-7 on the ML when Kevin Gausman starts
New York is 13-4 on the ML when Max Fried starts

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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